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The Diamondbacks' Record in One-Run Games Ranks Last in the NL | September
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With just 24 games left in the Regular Season, the Diamondbacks sit 6.5 Games Behind in the Wild Card race and 9.5 Games Back in the NL West. One of the biggest factors in the disappointing season has been the team's performance in One Run games. Amazingly, the Diamondbacks are only 11-23 in One Run games, which is the worst record in the NL, even worse than the hapless Cubs and Astros.

Record in One-Run Games

Team W L Pct
ATL 19 11 .633
SFG 26 17 .605
WAS 26 18 .591
CIN 24 19 .558
LAD 25 22 .532
PIT 25 23 .521
COL 16 15 .516
MIA 22 21 .512
SDP 19 19 .500
NYM 17 18 .486
PHI 22 24 .478
MIL 22 28 .440
STL 16 22 .421
HOU 14 25 .359
CHC 12 23 .343
ARI 11 23 .324

The Diamondbacks also have the largest disparity between their overall winning percentage and their one-run game winning percentage.

Team Overall Pct One-Run Pct Difference
ARI .493 .324 .169
STL .540 .421 .119
COL .415 .516 -.101
MIA .438 .512 -.074
ATL .562 .633 -.071
MIL .493 .440 .053
HOU .307 .359 -.052
CIN .601 .558 .043
SFG .562 .605 -.043
SDP .464 .500 -.036
CHC .375 .343 .032
WAS .618 .591 .027
NYM .474 .486 -.011
PIT .529 .521 .009
PHI .482 .478 .003
LAD .529 .532 -.003

If the Diamondbacks' were winning One-Run games at the same rate as their overall winning percentage, they would be around 74-64, right in the hunt for a Wild Card spot. The two questions that immediately come to mind are:
1) Why are the Diamondbacks doing so poorly in one run games?, and 
2) Is that likely to be a problem again next year?

Why are the Diamondbacks Doing So Poorly in One Run Games?
The biggest factor in these situations has been the offense, and not the pitching staff. The team is batting just .188/.256/.312 (.567 OPS) in "Late and Close" situations, compared to .258/.324/.418 (.724 OPS) overall. The National League as a whole is batting .239/.317/.369 (.685 OPS) in these cases. Only Jason Kubel and Chris Young have hit near or above their normal levels in Late & Close situations, while the rest of the team has been really, really bad.

Player Late & Close OPS
Jason Kubel .882
Chris Young .753
Miguel Montero .661
Paul Goldschmidt .524
Willie Bloomquist .511
Aaron Hill .509
Justin Upton .505
Chris Johnson .436
Gerardo Parra .414
Ryan Roberts .410

The pitching has been much better in close games, allowing just a .675 OPS in Late & Close situations, compared to .732 overall.

Is This Likely to be a Problem Again Next Year?
Hopefully not. Team performance in these situations is pretty fluky. In 2011, the Diamondbacks had a 28-16 record in One-Run games, and the offense had an excellent .810 OPS in those situations. They probably overachieved in 2011, and have certainly underachieved in 2012, but if they hit close to their normal levels in clutch situations in 2013, that should be good enough for playoff contention.