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Many sites are starting to put out player projections for the 2010 season. In this post, we'll compare the projections for Diamondbacks' batters from six sources - Bill James, CHONE, Marcel, Zips, Baseball HQ, and the Fans. Bill James - These projections are from the Bill James Handbook, from Baseball Info Solutions. CHONE - Developed by Sean Smith, these are available at Baseball Projection.com. Marcel - Named for Marcel the Monkey, Marcel is the simplest projection system around, mainly based on a weighted average of the three previous seasons. Zips - Developed by Dan Szymborksi at Baseball Think Factory. Baseball HQ - Projections from Ron Shandler in the Baseball Forecaster and BaseballHQ.com. Fans - This is an average of fans' projections at Fangraphs.com. Miguel Montero, C
System AB R H HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2009 425 61 125 16 59 38 78 1 2 .294 .355 .478 .832
BJames 472 63 130 18 69 47 82 1 1 .275 .344 .458 .802
CHONE 362 44 100 14 55 32 66 1 1 .276 .342 .456 .798
Marcel 406 57 112 15 55 40 80 2 2 .276 .344 .456 .799
Zips 346 44 95 12 56 33 61 0 1 .275 .342 .451 .793
HQ 466 62 127 17 61 44 92 1 1 .273 .335 .460 .796
Fans 508 73 144 18 78 50 90 1 0 .283 .352 .458 .810
All of the projections for Montero are fairly close, and all are slightly below his 2009 stats. Montero's playing time will depend on the status of Chris Snyder.  If Snyder isn't traded, he should see some at bats against LHP. But if the D'backs decide to trade Snyder and his $4M salary, Montero should steal more at bats from the backup (John Hester). Adam LaRoche, 1B
System AB R H HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2008 492 66 133 25 85 54 122 1 1 .270 .341 .500 .841
2009 555 78 154 25 83 69 142 2 2 .277 .355 .488 .843
BJames 571 79 155 26 91 66 143 1 1 .271 .348 .485 .833
CHONE 532 71 138 24 80 54 135 1 1 .259 .330 .459 .789
Marcel 505 67 136 22 77 58 124 2 2 .269 .344 .473 .817
Zips 513 80 147 26 109 63 130 1 1 .287 .363 .520 .883
HQ 583 88 164 31 109 63 139 1 1 .282 .352 .532 .884
Fans 548 82 148 25 84 63 139 2 1 .270 .343 .481 .824
The projections for LaRoche are a lot more varied, with the projected OPS varying from .789 to .884. I think the upper projections will prevail, as LaRoche benefits from the friendly batting conditions in Arizona. Kelly Johnson, 2B
System AB R H HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2007 521 91 144 16 68 79 117 9 5 .276 .375 .457 .831
2008 547 86 157 12 69 52 113 11 6 .287 .349 .446 .795
2009 303 47 68 8 29 32 54 7 2 .224 .303 .389 .692
BJames 485 78 133 14 62 58 88 10 5 .274 .354 .445 .799
CHONE 433 69 118 13 56 49 81 8 4 .273 .351 .443 .794
Marcel 380 60 101 10 46 44 78 8 4 .266 .345 .432 .777
Zips 434 66 121 14 64 48 84 5 2 .279 .352 .472 .824
HQ 491 88 136 16 72 53 91 12 3 .277 .348 .483 .832
Fans 492 69 134 12 70 55 94 7 2 .272 .346 .423 .769
Kelly Johnson had a down year in 2009, but all of the projection systems have Johnson returning to form in 2010. Although Chase Field should help Johnson's stats, my prediction is an OPS of around .770. Stephen Drew, SS
System AB R H HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2008 611 91 178 21 67 41 109 3 3 .291 .333 .502 .836
2009 533 71 139 12 65 49 87 5 1 .261 .320 .428 .748
BJames 585 80 161 17 71 52 92 5 3 .275 .335 .456 .791
CHONE 550 73 149 15 63 45 92 4 2 .271 .328 .431 .759
Marcel 505 68 136 14 59 47 90 6 2 .269 .330 .444 .774
Zips 554 73 147 16 77 50 95 3 1 .265 .324 .444 .768
HQ 594 87 166 18 69 52 104 6 2 .280 .338 .466 .805
Fans 611 82 171 17 79 54 102 6 2 .280 .336 .457 .793
After an excellent 2008 and a disappointing 2009, all of the projections have Drew finishing 2010 somewhere between the two. My guess is somewhere around .270/.330/.450 for Drew in 2010. Mark Reynolds, 3B
System AB R H HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2008 539 87 129 28 97 64 204 11 2 .239 .320 .458 .779
2009 578 98 150 44 102 76 223 24 9 .260 .349 .543 .892
BJames 559 103 150 40 107 72 191 18 8 .268 .356 .551 .907
CHONE 492 83 128 30 87 60 169 11 5 .260 .345 .498 .843
Marcel 519 85 135 31 89 63 183 14 5 .260 .342 .503 .845
Zips 530 85 137 33 106 64 182 7 3 .258 .341 .509 .850
HQ 577 97 143 37 99 69 211 15 6 .248 .328 .502 .830
Fans 593 90 152 37 109 74 219 18 4 .256 .340 .502 .843
All of the projections have Reynolds hitting at least 30 HR in 2010, with a so-so batting average and a lot of strikeouts. The projected OPS is generally around .840, with Bill James up at .907. Conor Jackson, LF
System AB R H HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2007 415 56 118 15 60 53 50 2 2 .284 .368 .467 .836
2008 540 87 162 12 75 59 61 10 2 .300 .376 .446 .823
2009 99 8 18 1 14 11 16 5 0 .182 .264 .253 .516
Bjames 463 66 132 12 69 57 54 9 4 .285 .368 .438 .806
CHONE 416 60 115 12 61 48 56 4 2 .276 .358 .425 .783
Marcel 278 39 77 8 39 32 39 5 1 .277 .356 .435 .791
Zips 356 50 99 10 59 40 46 4 1 .278 .357 .441 .798
HQ 517 65 144 15 75 61 68 11 1 .278 .354 .433 .788
Fans 494 79 144 13 84 55 65 6 1 .292 .369 .450 .819
Most of the projections are worried about Jackson's Valley-Fever plagued 2009 season. I think Jackson will be all the way back, and should have an OPS around .830. Chris Young, CF
System AB R H HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2007 569 85 135 32 68 43 141 27 6 .237 .295 .467 .763
2008 625 85 155 22 85 62 165 14 5 .248 .315 .443 .758
2009 433 54 92 15 42 59 133 11 4 .212 .311 .400 .711
Bjames 560 84 137 25 73 65 142 17 6 .245 .326 .463 .789
CHONE 341 46 78 11 33 43 98 7 5 .229 .320 .387 .707
Marcel 461 63 110 19 56 50 123 14 4 .239 .315 .440 .756
Zips 563 77 133 23 83 62 143 9 3 .236 .315 .440 .755
HQ 518 73 123 21 61 60 140 14 6 .237 .316 .442 .758
Fans 504 65 122 21 72 60 140 18 5 .242 .323 .451 .775
The projections for Young are all over the map. CHONE has Young with another miserable year, finishing with an OPS around .707.  Most others have Young returning to his 2007-2008 form, around .750, while the fans and Bill James have Young having the best season of his career. Young did finish strongly in September, so hopefully he can get the OPS in the .770 range. Justin Upton, RF
System AB R H HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
2008 356 52 89 15 42 54 121 1 4 .250 .353 .463 .816
2009 526 84 158 26 86 55 137 20 5 .300 .366 .532 .899
BJames 564 93 165 28 90 68 142 19 8 .293 .371 .534 .905
CHONE 456 73 135 22 72 52 115 13 7 .296 .372 .515 .887
Marcel 472 73 135 21 68 57 124 12 4 .286 .364 .506 .871
Zips 511 79 144 26 90 64 134 9 3 .282 .363 .521 .884
HQ 577 87 160 28 93 69 161 22 7 .277 .354 .504 .858
Fans 582 102 173 31 109 69 148 22 6 .297 .373 .541 .914
Another solid year for Upton, although only the Fans are projecting a significant increase. Conclusions The Diamondbacks' offense should be significantly improved in 2010.  I think they will get above-average production from Montero, LaRoche, Drew, Reynolds, Upton, and Jackson, and hopefully at league average results from Johnson and CYoung.  This team will strike out a lot, with four players (Reynolds, Upton, LaRoche, Young) certain to break 100 Ks, with Drew, Johnson, and Montero coming close to that level.  Team speed will also be a concern, as most projections have Reynolds' SBs decreasing, and only Upton safely in double figures.  Still, this team will have good power, and will draw their share of walks. I predict a team total of at least 770 runs scored, or 50 more than each of the last two seasons.